Penang has - 13 Parlimentary Seats. Currently BN has only 2 seat out of these 13. Herein is the table.
Kepala Batas and Tasek Gelugor will remain with BN. The development for these 2 areas for the last 3 years shows the the MP's really worked hard to maintain the status quo of BN support. This is Pak Lah and YB Noor Mohamed areas respectively. YB Sharif Omar did a good job here.
Bagan - strong shift to BN PRU 13
This area has more than 70% Chinese voters. At least 35% of the Chinese of this area support BN. The swing in the Indian and Malay votes , is the primary factor that Bagan fell to DAP.
So far all developments here basically attributed to the support of Chinese Chambers of Commerce.
The total combine of Malay and Indian votes = 29% will help to swing the vote back to BN....
P44 - strong shift to BN PRU 13
M I C Others
Looking at the race composition this is Anwar base support area. The Malays are divided - 70% PKR and 30% UMNO...The trick to Permatang Pauh is to get the Indian 6.30% , Others 0.41% and Chinese 24.79%. Basically there is no development whatsoever since PKR took over P44 for the last 10 years.
With Anwar Ibrahim implicated, the Malays are divided 50/50...another strong contender to fallback to BN.
This seat with 72% Chinese vote, still the trick should be on the Indians and Malays votes to neutralize the huge support for DAP...A lot of municipalities issue here especially congested traffic...
A 50/50 for PR and BN
With Indians falling out against DAP and PKR....and if the Malays unite, this is a sure deal BN area to claim.
P47 - BN - PRU 13
M I C Dll
The Indians will seek revenge here for the Kg Buah Pala issue with Malays traditionally strong UMNO supporters. Penang Malays are falling out against PKR...Good seat for BN to claim back.
A DAP Strong hold...Exremist Chinese is the majority in this area. Latest initiatives by the Federal Government to install new furnicular train on Penang Hill might do the trick.
DAP strong hold
BN must garner support from Indians and Malays here. With 30% support from the Chinese, this one will fall down back to BN.
M I C Dll
Gerakan/MCA must support to garner the 35% support from the Chinese here. The Malays and Indians will definitely swing back here. This is where the famous Kg Buah Pala located.
This seat is under Bebas and Datuk Zahrain is friendly towards UMNO. He will rejoin UMNO.
The PKR is loosing grip here as the Anwar factor is weakening. The Malays here are divided 50/50...
So far, we identified these Parlimentary Seats that will fall back to BN ;
These are main areas that the Federal must regain back to continue the development programs already planned for Penang.